The traditional triangular fuzzy fault tree prediction model adopts the linear approximation method. Therefore, the accident prediction error is large. Based on the analysis of the error sources and the fuzzy set, the precise calculation method of the event at the top of the fault tree is given. By using the numerical calculation software, an accurate calculation method of nonlinear triangular fuzzy accident prediction was adopted to predict lithium battery air transport fire accidents, and the fuzzy importance of the cause event was calculated.
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Du J, Wang R, 2014, Fire fault tree Analysis of Lithium Battery in Air Transportation Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number. Traffic Information and Safety, 32(03): 119–122 + 127.
FAA, 2022, Lithium Battery Incident Chart, viewed June 1, 2022, https://www.faa.gov/hazmat/ resources/lithium-battery-incident-chart
Wang R, 2014, Risk Analysis and Control Measures of Lithium Battery Fire Accident in Air Transport, thesis, Civil Aviation University of China.