Application of Nonlinear Triangular Fuzzy Fault Tree Algorithm in Predicting Lithium Battery Air Transport Accidents
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Keywords

Nonlinear triangular fuzzy number
Fault tree
Lithium batteries
Air transport

DOI

10.26689/jera.v6i5.4507

Submitted : 2022-10-30
Accepted : 2022-11-14
Published : 2022-11-29

Abstract

The traditional triangular fuzzy fault tree prediction model adopts the linear approximation method. Therefore, the accident prediction error is large. Based on the analysis of the error sources and the fuzzy set, the precise calculation method of the event at the top of the fault tree is given. By using the numerical calculation software, an accurate calculation method of nonlinear triangular fuzzy accident prediction was adopted to predict lithium battery air transport fire accidents, and the fuzzy importance of the cause event was calculated.

References

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Du J, Wang R, 2014, Fire fault tree Analysis of Lithium Battery in Air Transportation Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number. Traffic Information and Safety, 32(03): 119–122 + 127.

FAA, 2022, Lithium Battery Incident Chart, viewed June 1, 2022, https://www.faa.gov/hazmat/ resources/lithium-battery-incident-chart

Wang R, 2014, Risk Analysis and Control Measures of Lithium Battery Fire Accident in Air Transport, thesis, Civil Aviation University of China.